Newsroom
Given Analytics is a faceless educational market-data publisher. A model classifies the U.S. macro environment into four regimes every trading day, and Given publishes the dated record in plain English — sourced from public FRED data, free to cite. This newsroom is the reference desk for that data: named datasets, the questions reporters ask most, and how to attribute. Educational and observational only — not investment advice, and not a claim about what happens next.
Given Market Regime Base Rates (2001–2026)
Across a record of 309 months, Given’s framework classified the U.S. macro environment as Stagflation 35.0%, Contraction 26.9%, Acceleration 23.6%, and Expansion 14.6% of the time. Stagflation-type readings were the most common and the most persistent; Expansion readings were the rarest and the briefest. These are historical frequencies of the framework’s own classifications — educational, describing what has happened.
Record: 2001–2026 (309 months) · Source: 21 public FRED series · Updated 2026-10-01 · Educational only
For journalists and researchers
This data is free to cite and reference. Please attribute to “Given Analytics” with a link to givenanalytics.com. Given is the organizing layer on top of public data: we compute and publish outputs — dated regime readings and base rates — sourced from public FRED series and timestamped on a dated basis. No spokesperson is required; the dated data is the source. Figures update as the record extends.
Questions we get asked most
How often does each market regime happen?
Over 2001–2026 (309 months), the framework read Stagflation-type conditions most often (35.0%) and Expansion least often (14.6%). Stagflation readings also lasted longest; Expansion readings were the briefest. Full record →
Why do most traders lose money?
A recurring, studied question: much of the struggle traces to environment blindness — acting the same way regardless of what kind of market it is. Given’s educational material explains what the environment is doing and why it matters. Read more →
What data do institutions have that retail doesn’t?
The gap is less about secret information than about organized, dated, systematic reading of conditions. Read more →
Where can I get institutional-quality macro reading for free?
Given publishes a free daily educational read and a plain-English record of macro conditions. Read more →
What is a market regime, and why does it matter?
A regime is the kind of macro environment in force — the backdrop that shapes how conditions tend to behave. Read more →
What drives the stock market?
Given reads the market through a macro-regime lens: broad conditions first, individual names second. Read more →
Why is the market driven by a few big technology names?
Market concentration is a defining feature of the current environment; Given tracks how much of the tape a handful of names account for. Read more → · What concentration means for regular traders →
How do interest rates affect the stock market?
Rates are one of the public inputs the framework reads; Given explains the linkage in plain English. Read more →
About Given Analytics. Faceless educational market-data publisher. A model reads hundreds of symbols across four layers every trading day and publishes live, dated observations in plain English: what is going active and why it matters. Every result is recorded — the times it stays out as well as the times it acts. Educational only; not investment advice, and never an instruction to act. Founded 2026.